Global geopolitical risk predictions for 2016

The previous 25 years have been marked by globalization. A number of forces acted together to bring our planet closer together. Trade pacts, peacekeeping alliances, the Internet.

But now, according to Christopher Swift, a professor of national security studies at Georgetown, we’re in a new era of localization and fragmentation.

“The global economic system is reorganizing into regional blocks, and those blocks are putting more barriers around themselves,” he said.

Russia, China, and the NAFTA region are starting to focus internally. The European Union struggles to keep its coalitions together, the U.S. is facing a dramatic political divide, and the Middle East is suffering from its own divides. And the fragmentation is expanding to the rule of law as well.

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